Trump Predicts Imminent Iran Deal to Reopen Strait of Hormuz and Lower Oil Prices

You can put it down to an impending breakthrough with Iran, says President Trump. He's forecasting a deal in the coming days that will have the Strait of Hormuz open for business and oil prices in check. He makes much of the talks underway and the lull in fighting between Israel and Iran, calling it all part of a move to steady the region and the economy.

US President Donald Trump has put a time on it: a quick resolution with Iran is just a few days off. In his view, any accord would see the Strait of Hormuz unblocked and put some downward pressure on oil. “We’re in the final throes of this,” he said of the negotiations, and you could be looking at a done deal in “two or three days.”

What Trump says is changing on the ground

The pressure is at its height, Trump maintains. There is a blockade in place that is “100%” effective – “no oil, no income, no nothing” is getting by. He puts that right up against the diplomatic side of things and is sure that as soon as there are signatures, you’ll see results.

There’s a clip from a news agency where he says we have talks going on in and with Iran and he wants to see some clarity “by one or two days.” He was plain with the press: we’re talking days here, not weeks.

De-escalation signal after recent exchanges

Then there is the matter of the nuclear file, but Trump also made note of the stand-down between Israel and Iran. After a word with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, he said the two of them had been at each other and now they’ll “leave each other alone for another week or something.”

He sees that as an opening for some diplomacy. The idea is to hold your fire while the negotiators put together terms that, in his telling, will keep a nuclear option out of Tehran’s hands.

Stakes for energy and security

For the president, this is about the world’s markets. An agreement means lower oil, he says. And once it’s signed, the Strait of Hormuz will be open right away, with the flow of goods to pick up in a hurry.

The bottom line for Trump is to make sure Iran can’t build a bomb. He has no trouble calling what’s in the offing a “very, very good deal” and is quick to point out the stability and relief it will bring to the area.

Key claims at a glance

The most notable things coming out of the White House:

– We are in the final throes of the talks

– A deal is on the table in two or three days

– Some clarity in a day or two

– The blockade is 100%

– The Strait of Hormuz reopens on the spot

– Israel and Iran to be left to their own devices for a week or so

Shifting timeline and broader framing

As for Tuesday, Trump put a label on it: a Middle East peace deal. He used the same “final throes” language and once more said you could have it in “two or three days.” Not a matter of weeks, he was at pains to say.

He was in a confident mood when he spoke to reporters after an NBA Finals game, and it showed in how he put it across.

Why it matters and what to watch next

Should the Strait open and the price of oil come down like he says, you’ll see it in the energy markets and for those who rely on imports in a flash. And with the shooting on the border on hold, the odds of a bigger conflagration are down for the moment.

It comes down to the next 48 hours. Trump is saying we’ll have answers in “one or two days” and the whole thing tied up in “two or three.” See if the rest of the story adds up, what the fine print is on verification, and whether the truce holds as the talks get under way.